Finding Wisdom Faster: Montgomery County's 2028 Electoral Future
- AJ
- Mar 14
- 1 min read
Montgomery County's voting patterns reveal a definitive Democratic trend in presidential elections. Our analysis shows Democrats have won every presidential contest since 2004, with their margin growing substantially from just over 1,000 votes in 2004 to more than 27,000 votes by 2024.
Applying the Laplace Law of Succession to six election cycles suggests an 87.5% probability of continued Democratic success in 2028.
Concerning is the declining voter turnout since its 2012 peak—dropping from 102,123 votes to just 90,268 in 2024. This trend means every vote carries even greater weight in determining the county's future!
Voter Participation: A Call to Action
2012 Peak Turnout: 102,123 voters (65.5% of registered voters)
2024 Turnout: Just 90,268 voters (55.2% of registered voters)
Missing Voters: Nearly 12,000 fewer ballots cast in 2024 than in 2012
Untapped Potential: Over 73,000 registered voters didn't participate in 2024
As 2028 approaches, let's reverse this turnout decline regardless of political affiliation. Democracy thrives when citizens participate, and Montgomery County deserves robust civic engagement.
Special thanks to the Montgomery County Election Center and Alabama Secretary of State for providing this valuable data for analysis.
By understanding these trends, we're finding wisdom faster and empowering voters to shape our community's future. Let's make 2028 a record-breaking year for voter participation!
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